|
This session is organised jointly as "back to back sessions" with a session entitled "Water and Climate: Water Cycle Research and Observational Activities for Water Management and Sustainable Development"; Kyoto, 17 March, 2003, 8.45 - 11.30, Room K.
The first session on March 16 will position, by means of several keynote presentations followed by a "Dialogue" between expert panels and the audience, the main scientific and applied research challenges which remains to be addressed in the area of water and climate. These will include research into improved climate scenarios for water resources planning, forecasting of climate variability for water management and for disaster preparedness, and effective handling of data collecting and monitoring schemes. Recommendations and conclusions of this first session will be addressed and further elaborated upon in the second session on March 17, where the main focus will be on (Inter)national Research Programmes and their ability to effectively address remaining research and observational challenges. Both session will prepare a joint, "back to back" report for plenary wrap - up session on the 17th.
|
 |
|
[Agenda]
| 15:00 - 15:10 | --- | Welcoming Remarks and Introduction of the Purpose of the Session (Kabat/Lawford)
| | 15:10 - 15:30 | --- | Introductory Address:
"Our Changing Earth" - about Global Change in the Context of Earth System Science, and about the key role of Water-(prof. Berrien Moore III, former Chair IGBP, University of New Hampshire, USA) |
- Part 1: Climate Change and Water Resources Planning
| 15:30 - 15:50 | --- | Thematic Key Note Address:
"Climate Change - how much do we know and how much can we predict" ---about the evidence of anthropogenic climate change, our ability to mimic (model) past climatic change and climate variability, and our ability to predict the future, including regional projections, changes in climate extremes and sea level rise (prof. John F B Mitchell, Hadley Centre, UK & IPCC; prof. U. Cubasch, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and IPCC) |
| 15:50 - 16:10 | --- | Thematic Key Note Address:
"Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources"---. about effects of projected CC on hydrological cycle and (regional) water resources, (prof. Nigel Arnell, Tyndall Centre, UK; prof. Kundzewich, PIK, Potsdam) |
| 16:10 - 16:30 | --- | Coffee / tea break |
| 16:30 - 17:30 | --- | Panel Discussion on "How to use Climate Change Scenarios for Water Resources Planning and Water Management".
Will start with the two 5 min "bold' statements / main issues on behalf of the Science and Water Management Communities, which will summarise leading concerns regarding usefulness of the current projections of CC for practical water resources planning and water management, and in support of UNFCC related international funding mechanism, such as for example the UNFCC Adaptation Fund. The Panel will then briefly respond , followed by a discussion with the audience. The aim of the discussion is to crystallise a "fast- track" priority and innovative research agenda, which would lead by 2006 to measurable results in terms of better and more reliable (regional) CC scenarios for water sector, tools (e.g. operational downscaling techniques), and interpretation methodologies (e.g. dealing with climate uncertainties) in water resources planning, as well as in support of international funding mechanism which is to be set for climate adaptation measures in different water sectors.. |
Key statements/concerns on behalf of Climate Science Community by prof. Mike Hulmes, Tyndall Centre, UK
Key statements/concerns on behalf of Water Management Sector by Dr. E. Stakhiv, US Corps of Engineers, USA
Panellists:
dr. Pachauri, IPCC, prof. Mitchell/Cubasch, prof. Arnell/Kundzewich, prof. Schultze (S Africa), prof. Tony Allen, UK; a representative of Chinese Ministry of Water Resources and Planning, a representative of Bangladesh Ministry of Water Resources and Planning, a representative of Nagoya District River Authority, Japan, a representative of a regional/local Water Board, Netherlands, a representative of International Water Association (IWA), prof. Peter Gleick, USA, a representative of UNFCC Adaptation Fund, ---
Moderator: P Kabat; Rapporteurs: Brian Appleton (DWC) , Andy Bulllock (DWC) and Rick Lawford (NOAA)
- Part 2: What can Science do to Better Cope with Climate Variability: Value of Climate Forecasting
| 17:30 - 17:50 | --- | Thematic Key Note Address:
"Forecasting of the seasonal to inter-annual variability in climate" ---. a critical review of our current skills to predict seasonal and inter-annual climate variability for water resources planning, including El Nino/La Nina, world regions with best and poorest forecasting skills, near future perspectives (IRI, speaker to be determined) |
| 17:50 - 18:10 | --- | Case Study 1:
"From Climate Forecasting to Adaptive Decision Support Systems in Water Management - Use of Climate Outlook for Water Management in South Florida" (dr. Jayantha Obeysekera, Director, Hydrologic Systems Modeling, South Florida Water Management District) |
| 18:10 - 18:30 | --- | Case Study 2:
"Water Management and Climate Forecasting in Ceara North - East Brazil"; (dr. Carlos Nobre, INPE/CPTEC and dr. Francisco de Assis de Souza Filho, FUNCEME, Fortaleza, Brazil) |
| 18:30 - 19:30 | --- | Panel Discussion on "How to use Climate Forecasting Skills in Water Resources Management"
Will start with three max 5 min "bold' statements / main issues on behalf of the Climate Forecasting, Water Management, and Disaster Preparedness Communities, which will summarise leading concerns regarding usefulness of current forecasting skills (short term, seasonal, inter-annual) for practical water management (droughts, floods, multi-use optimisations, etc) and for management/preparedness in hydro-meteorological disasters. The Panel will then briefly respond , followed by a discussion with audience. The aim of the discussion is to help to crystallise a "fast- track" priority research agenda, which would lead to better skills in short term, seasonal - and inter-annual climate forecasting for different water related sectors, including agriculture and energy; as well as to better use of currently available forecasting skills for water management and disaster preparedness planning. |
Key statements/concerns on behalf of Climate Forecasting Community by IRI (speaker to be determined)
Key statements/concerns on behalf of Water Management Sector by Eelco van Beek, Delft Hydraulics, Netherlands
Key statements/concerns on behalf of Disaster Preparedness Sector by Madeleen Helmer, RCI
Panellists:
IRI representative (Zebiak/Lenton/...?); Obeysekera, Nobre, van Beek, , IWMI representative, a representative of Bangladesh national Dialogue, Hydro Quebec representative, UN ISDR (Harding/Briceno), Red Cross International (Helmer), World Bank (Grey), a representative of Small Valley Dialogue (Central America), representatives of funding agencies (US Aid, DGIS-Netherlands, DFIT, SIDA,..)
Moderator: P Kabat; Rapporteurs: Brian Appleton (DWC) , Andy Bulllock (DWC) and Rick Lawford (NOAA)
|


|